A Winters Tale In Spring?!

Major cold and even snow potential growing!

BALTIMORE - Spring came in just a tad under noon time, Thursday and with it came 50 degree temperatures. The normal afternoon high temperature in the middle to end of March ranges between 54-57 degrees but as we know there is nothing about 2014 that is normal. Keeping with that theme comes another blast of arctic air as we push into early next week.

While we are officially in Spring...there is NOTHING about this forecast going past this weekend that screams spring!

The latest forecast models we use at ABC 2 continue to hint at the potential for an east coast storm as we head into the Tuesday through Wednesday morning timeframe. It's absolutely fascinating that mother nature continues to bring in storms at the perfect time to produce snow (which is at night since daytime sun angle would kill an all-snow situation).

The afternoon runs of the European and Canadian continue to bring a deep trough of low pressure across the east coast. By Tuesday morning a wave of low pressure will develop along an arctic boundary forcing the low to move north. Water temperatures off the east coast have been warmer (closer to the coast) which would support rapid intensification along the thermal gradient setup (difference of temperatures between ocean and landmass).

The exact details differ model to model. For example, the GFS and Euro are almost night and day. The GFS keeps the low weaker and further south east (which tends to fit it's normal bias) while the European model wraps up a low and sends it north. 

The European ensembles (which are a blend of several model members) show a MAJOR storm with very strong winds along the coastline. This would spell out a big snow event along the I-95 cities given the storm will come in Tuesday night and exit early Wednesday morning. Again, an IDEAL situation if you LIKE SNOW!

There are various images at the top where I explain which each snow. Scroll through and read my caption to each. 

As always we will continue to update the forecast accordingly. I will post the latest updates to my facebook and twitter. Follow here if you can :)

Facebook: www.facebook.com\mikemascometeorologist

Twitter: www.twitter.com\MascoFromABC2

 

 

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