Earlier this week (July 1), Arthur became the first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season. On Wednesday, it became the first hurricane.
When compared to previous years, this season is off to an early start.
The Atlantic hurricane season began June 1, but tropical storms and hurricanes are fairly rare during the first month. On average, there is only one tropical cyclone every other year during the month of June.
Now that Arthur is a hurricane, it's ahead of schedule by about a month when compared to the averages.
A hurricane this early isn't an indicator of the rest of the season, either.
In 1994, Tropical Storm Alberto formed June 30, just a day before this year's Arthur, and that turned out to be one of the quietest Atlantic hurricane seasons on record. And in 2010, Hurricane Alex formed at the end of June, and that turned out to be one of the busiest hurricane seasons on record.
One thing to count on is where these storms will likely form over the next month. July is typically a quiet time of year for hurricane activity, but when they form, the usual hotspots of activity keep popping up.
The Gulf of Mexico, the Atlantic Ocean just off the coast of Florida, and the Caribbean Sea just southeast of Puerto Rico are all hotbeds for tropical storm activity.
In August, September and October, that area grows significantly, and so does the probability for a landfall.
As of right now, it looks like Arthur will only skirt the North Carolina coast, blowing and dropping most of its rain in the Atlantic Ocean.
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